Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 8.299343 9.714848 11.265211 13.084829 15.157232 17.439200 20.137135
2026-01-04 6.117383 8.076765 10.449637 13.512245 17.335259 21.923041 27.815224
2026-01-11 4.701463 6.844709 9.657505 13.567770 18.802745 25.501660 34.642619
2026-01-18 3.763790 5.959287 9.043883 13.605224 20.070911 28.782322 41.252591
2026-01-25 2.991479 5.117712 8.296564 13.265103 20.672362 31.110199 46.679689
2026-02-01 2.416317 4.443701 7.653948 12.931102 21.162736 33.232462 51.897495
2026-02-08 1.930513 3.810046 6.956051 12.382230 21.214438 34.652183 56.134576
2026-02-15 1.572734 3.320755 6.404468 11.967411 21.384941 36.204665 60.619033
2026-02-22 1.399572 3.132059 6.328478 12.317144 22.792939 39.743733 68.365256
2026-03-01 1.255761 2.970923 6.272757 12.682501 24.241365 43.431165 76.572233
2026-03-08 1.044388 2.629691 5.829002 12.286733 24.324185 44.870053 81.221254
2026-03-15 0.880645 2.355844 5.471355 11.997916 24.549559 46.535625 86.318522
2026-03-22 0.809199 2.288852 5.546053 12.602199 26.556912 51.569991 97.736653
2026-03-29 0.721221 2.167062 5.494724 12.965195 28.180834 56.118923 108.758866
2026-04-05 0.622262 1.993738 5.301664 13.008780 29.190724 59.645149 118.243908
2026-04-12 0.538063 1.837245 5.118182 13.042913 30.175122 63.186120 127.982365
2026-04-19 0.447318 1.636838 4.793110 12.714792 30.376273 65.256140 135.154951
2026-04-26 0.372180 1.459971 4.491667 12.392919 30.545199 67.258157 142.310246
2026-05-03 0.301264 1.273271 4.127050 11.864171 30.201390 68.209283 147.509530
2026-05-10 0.247363 1.124858 3.834582 11.464639 30.090816 69.600917 153.626793
2026-05-17 0.225083 1.082464 3.833166 11.801476 31.685604 74.590763 167.128426
2026-05-24 0.205559 1.044419 3.837582 12.153409 33.346430 79.826726 181.422255
2026-05-31 0.169837 0.928670 3.582576 11.772185 33.222856 81.268924 188.105985